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Prediction markets
51 active markets
· category “Trump”
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How to trade
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Donald Trump
99%
Shehbaz Sharif
99%
18 more
$1.80M
Vol.
Aug 1
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$28.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
75 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
94%
60+
67%
2 more
$51K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
45 trading now
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$911K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
54 trading now
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$109K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
47 trading now
Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$85K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?
September 30
99%
December 31
98%
1 more
$13K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
30%
chance
Yes
No
$1.22M
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$85
49 trading now
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?
140-159
54%
160-179
29%
9 more
$24K
Vol.
Jul 3
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
50 trading now
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