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Prediction markets

11 active markets · category “Science”

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1
28%YesNo
2
66%YesNo
$2.99MVol. Dec 31science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

0
50%YesNo
1
31%YesNo
$2.6KVol. Jul 5science
How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

310+
310+96%
280–310
280–3102%7 more
$19KVol. Jul 8science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

3%

chance

YesNo
$686KVol. Dec 31science
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

24%

chance

YesNo
$225KVol. Dec 31science
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

5%

chance

YesNo
$13KVol. Dec 31science
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

3%

chance

YesNo
$10.0KVol. Dec 31science
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

chance

YesNo
$111KVol. Dec 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

29%

chance

YesNo
$2.1KVol. Dec 31science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC45%
1.20–1.24ºC42%4 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science