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Prediction markets
440 active markets
· category “Politics”
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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
95%
Petro - Colombia President
2%
22 more
$16.6M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
68 trading now
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%
15s+
1%
5 more
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49%
J.D. Vance
42%
126 more
$667.0M
Vol.
Nov 7
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
72 trading now
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
39%
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
26 more
$23.7M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$64
74 trading now
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
July 31
62%
July 17
39%
2 more
$2.17M
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
65 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$5.55M
Vol.
Jul 15
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
53 trading now
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$455K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$468K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$544K
Vol.
Jul 7
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Seán Kyne
99%
Sheila Garrity
1%
25 more
$257K
Vol.
Mar 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
73%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
50 trading now
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$232K
Vol.
Aug 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
58 trading now
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